Minnesota Wild

How Minnesota plays, trait by trait, against the rest of the league.

Real numbers through Oct 10: 4 games this season, blended with last season. Traits that take longer to settle lean more on last season.

Real numbers through Oct 10, from this season’s 4 games only. Expect these to swing a lot this early, which is why the likely ranges are so wide.

Offense

• Shot volume
  SelectiveRelentless

  56.1 shot attempts per 6017th of 32

  54.6 shot attempts per 6019th of 32

• Shot quality
  HopefulDangerous

  a 6.1% chance of scoring on the average shot23rd of 32

  a 5.6% chance of scoring on the average shot26th of 32

• Second chances
  One-and-doneCrashers

  10.7% of chances come from rebounds2nd of 32

  11.6% of chances come from rebounds14th of 32

• Off-turnover offense
  PatientOpportunist

  7.4% of chances come right after a turnover15th of 32

  4.5% of chances come right after a turnover25th of 32

• Shots from defensemen
  Forward-ledActive D

  31.9% of shot attempts come from defensemen27th of 32

  31.2% of shot attempts come from defensemen27th of 32

• Shots from in close
  From distanceIn close

  31.9% of shots come from within 20 feet5th of 32

  32.5% of shots come from within 20 feet17th of 32

Defense

• Shot suppression
  PorousStingy

  58.8 shot attempts allowed per 6024th of 32

  55.6 shot attempts allowed per 6016th of 32

• Quality allowed
  ExposedSheltered

  a 6.0% chance of scoring on the average shot against4th of 32

  a 6.0% chance of scoring on the average shot against7th of 32

• Breakdowns avoided
  Fire drillComposed

  0.37 defensive breakdowns per 604th of 32

  0.31 defensive breakdowns per 6012th of 32

• Goaltending
  SieveWall

  +0.18 goals saved above expected per 606th of 32

  +0.92 goals saved above expected per 608th of 32

Tempo and edge

• Pace
  SlogTrack meet

  84.0 shots per 60, both teams combined7th of 32

  79.6 shots per 60, both teams combined16th of 32

• Forecheck pressure
  PassiveHounding

  forecheck score 105 (100 is league average)11th of 3223.8 forecheck plays recorded per 6011th of 32

  forecheck score 99 (100 is league average)15th of 3224.5 forecheck plays recorded per 6014th of 32

• Physicality
  FinesseBruising

  hit score 97 (100 is league average)19th of 3225.9 hits recorded per 6019th of 32

  hit score 88 (100 is league average)21st of 3226.0 hits recorded per 6021st of 32

• Depth
  Top-heavyDeep

  42.4% of forward ice time at 5-on-5 goes to the bottom six14th of 32

  43.6% of forward ice time at 5-on-5 goes to the bottom six12th of 32

Special teams

• Power play
  HarmlessLethal

  7.3 expected goals per 60 on the power play20th of 32

  7.4 expected goals per 60 on the power play13th of 32

• Penalty kill
  LeakyAirtight

  7.8 expected goals allowed per 60 shorthanded22nd of 32

  6.2 expected goals allowed per 60 shorthanded10th of 32

• Power kill
  BunkeredPredatory

  0.7 expected goals created per 60 shorthanded30th of 32

  0.6 expected goals created per 60 shorthanded19th of 32

• Discipline
  RecklessClean

  0.22 more penalties drawn than taken per 603rd of 32

  0.00 more penalties drawn than taken per 6015th of 32

Forecheck pressure and physicality are shown as arena-adjusted scores; switch “Hits and takeaways” to Raw in the settings to see the numbers as recorded. How the arena adjustment works.

Who Minnesota leans on, and what they do best.

• Kirill Kaprizov

  21:57 a game

  #97 · Left wing · 4 P in 4 GP (3 G, 1 A)

  • Most ice time
  • L1 · Eriksson Ek, Boldy
  • PP1
  • Tough minutes
  • Tough minutes
  • Power-play chancesTop 10
  • Creating chancestop 12%
  • Staying out of the boxtop 14%
  • Shot blockingbottom 6%
  • Hittingbottom 24%

• Matt Boldy

  21:18 a game

  #12 · Left wing · 0 P in 4 GP (0 G, 0 A)

  • 2nd in ice time
  • L1 · Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov
  • PP1
  • Kills penalties
  • Tough minutes
  • Shooting volumeTop 10
  • Takeawaystop 8%
  • Finishingtop 12%
  • Shot blockingtop 14%
  • Shooting volumetop 16%
  • Finishingbottom 24%

• Joel Eriksson Ek

  19:57 a game

  #14 · Center · 1 P in 4 GP (0 G, 1 A)

  • L1 · Kaprizov, Boldy
  • PP1
  • Kills penalties
  • Tough minutes
  • Shooting volumetop 14%
  • Hardest shottop 13%
  • Distance skatedbottom 5%
  • Hardest shottop 10%
  • Distance skatedbottom 10%

• Maxim Shabanov

  16:02 a game

  #49 · Right wing · 2 P in 4 GP (1 G, 1 A)

  • L4 · Coleman, Yurov
  • PP1
  • Tough minutes
  • Tough minutes
  • Staying out of the boxtop 3%
  • Takeawaystop 5%
  • Power-play chancesbottom 20%
  • Takeawaystop 11%
  • Top speedbottom 11%

• Quinn Hughes

  28:00 a game

  #43 · Defenseman · 6 P in 4 GP (2 G, 4 A)

  • Most ice time
  • P1 · Spurgeon
  • PP1
  • Tough minutes
  • Creating chances3rd
  • Setting up goalsTop 10
  • Drawing penaltiesTop 10
  • Hittingbottom 1%
  • Shooting volumetop 12%
  • Distance skatedtop 12%
  • Fast burststop 14%
  • Hittingbottom 13%

• Jared Spurgeon

  21:30 a game

  #46 · Defenseman · 4 P in 4 GP (1 G, 3 A)

  • 2nd in ice time
  • P1 · Hughes
  • PP2
  • Kills penalties
  • Tough minutes
  • Shot blockingtop 7%
  • Preventing chancestop 13%
  • Power-play chancesbottom 1%
  • Top speedbottom 8%

The 4 forwards and 2 defensemen with the most ice time a game (at least half the games played). Tags show how each is used; rows show his clearest strengths, and a weak spot in grey, as a percentile against his position. Point at anything for details. All Wild players.

Who plays together at 5-on-5, and how each group is doing.

Lines and pairs are numbered by 5-on-5 ice time together over the team’s last 10 games (4 so far this season), with each older game counting half as much as the one after it, so the latest combinations come first. With so few games, each group’s results are pulled toward the average for its line number.

Last game

At Tampa Bay Lightning, the team used the same lines and pairs as above.

Which opposing lines each Minnesota group has actually been out against at 5-on-5.

Each strip adds to 100%: it shows how one Minnesota group’s 5-on-5 time is split across the opponent’s four forward lines, numbered the same way as above. Sized by ice time, a wider box means more time against that line; even columns line the boxes up so you can compare groups straight down. At home the coach changes last and picks these matchups; on the road the other coach does. Faded rows have under ten minutes.

What “with no line matching” means: if a coach just rolled his lines and took whoever was out there, each of his groups would face the opponent’s first line about as often as that line is on the ice. If opposing first lines play a third of the time against Minnesota, every Minnesota group would see them for about a third of its shifts. A number well above that means the coach is sending that group out against them on purpose; well below means he is keeping it away.

Who Minnesota sends out with a man up and a man down.

Each power-play unit is built around its quarterback, the defenseman running it, plus the four players most often out with him over the last 10 games (4 so far). Power-play units’ expected goals per 60 are pulled toward league average while samples are small. Penalty kills are too loose for fixed units (the most common foursome covers only about a tenth of a typical team’s shorthanded time), so penalty killers are grouped by when they go on: the ones who start kills, the second wave who come on after the first change, and spot duty. Point at a power-play name to see his shots on the map.

What the tags mean

Quarterbackthe defenseman who runs the unit from the blue line.

Triggerthe unit’s main shooter, with the most dangerous power-play shots on the team over this season and last.

Distributorthe main passer, with the most first assists on the team’s power-play goals over this season and last.

Net-frontparks in front of the net. At least 40% of his power-play shots come from within 15 feet.

Pointa second defenseman on the unit, alongside the quarterback.

Is he stopping more than he should, and what is his team asking him to face?

Expected-goal models can’t see passes before a shot, so a goalie whose team gives up a lot of cross-ice passes will look worse here than he really is. Ratings compare him with goalies who have at least 10 starts over two seasons, or 2 this season.

How Minnesota’s goals are scored and allowed, against the league average, and how much of any difference luck alone could explain.

Every goal counts once, in the first of these that applies: empty net, power play, shorthanded, goalie pulled, then rebound, turnover, faceoff win, and everyday play. These mixes are mostly luck: over three seasons, teams’ goals came from much the same places, and most of the differences here didn’t last.