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Hits and takeaways

John Carlson

#74 · Defenseman · Tampa Bay Lightning

Shoots right · 36 years old

GamesGPGoalsGAssistsAPointsPShotsSOGIce timeTOI
This season42241419:44
Last season7114466015423:10

Role

Where he fits on Tampa Bay right now.

Line

P1 with J. Moser · 11:11 a game together

Power play

PP1 Quarterback

Penalty kill

Rarely kills penalties · not a regular in 9 kills

Ice time

19:44 a game, most among Tampa Bay defensemen · 12:40 5-on-5 · 5:12 PP

Competition

Easier opponents than 70% of defensemen · home about average, road 90%

About average among defensemen · home tougher than 68%

What’s changed

  • J. Carlson is no longer killing penalties: 0% of the team’s shorthanded time in 4 games, down from 47% last season.

Where he stands out

What he does better or worse than most players at his position.

Better than most at his position

  • Creating his own chancesTop 5

    0.33 expected goals /60better than 98% of defensemen

  • Creating chancesTop 5

    +0.29 expected goals /60better than 98% of defensemen

  • TakeawaysTop 10

    takeaway score 1471.57 takeaways /60better than 97% of defensemenmore than 98% of defensemen

  • Shooting volume

    14.4 shot attempts /60better than 95% of defensemen

Behind most at his position

  • Distance skated

    8.03 miles /60less far than 93% of defensemen

  • Drawing penalties

    0.28 penalties drawn /60behind 91% of defensemen

Listed only when we can be confident he is above or below average. Numbers from this season and last, through Oct 10. Compared with defensemen who have played at least 20 games over the two seasons.

Better than most at his position

  • Hardest shotTop 10

    94.9 mphharder than 95% of defensemen

  • Time in the offensive zone

    47.8% of his timemore than 93% of defensemen

  • Creating his own chances

    0.25 expected goals /60better than 80% of defensemen

Behind most at his position

Nothing yet where we can be confident he is below most defensemen.

Listed only when we can be confident he is above or below average. Numbers from this season, through Oct 10. Compared with defensemen who have played at least 3 games.

All ratings

Every rating, against other defensemen.

John CarlsonAverage defensemanLikely range

This season’s 4 games blended with last season’s 71, and pulled toward the average defenseman by an amount that depends on how quickly each rating settles.

He played for Washington Capitals last season. Habits that travel with a player (shooting, hitting, penalties) still use that season in full; setting up goals, finishing, faceoffs and power-play chances depend more on linemates and role, so they lean on it less. We measured how much each one carries over for players who change teams.

This season’s 4 games only, pulled toward the average defenseman. Expect wide ranges this early.

Driving play at 5-on-5

  • Creating chancesTop 5
    Along for the rideDrives play

    +0.29 expected goals /60top 2%

    −0.02 expected goals /60average

  • Preventing chances
    Chances against riseShuts it down

    +0.03 expected goals against /60bottom 36%

    no measurable changeaverage

Scoring

  • Shooting volume
    Rarely shootsFires away

    14.4 shot attempts /60top 5%

    12.1 shot attempts /60top 15%

  • Creating his own chancesTop 5
    Few chancesDangerous

    0.33 expected goals /60top 2%

    0.25 expected goals /60top 20%

  • Finishing
    Below expectedSniper

    +0.4 goals above expected /100 shotstop 18%

    +0.4 goals above expected /100 shotstop 20%

  • Setting up goals
    Rarely sets upPlaymaker

    0.45 first assists /60top 7%

    0.36 first assists /60top 28%

Special teams

  • Power-play chances
    QuietThreat

    0.87 expected goals /60top 25%

    0.88 expected goals /60top 24%

  • Shorthanded threat
    Pure defensePower kill

    0.81 expected goals for /60bottom 21%

    0.88 expected goals for /60too few games

Physical and puck

  • Hitting
    Avoids contactPhysical

    hitting score 54bottom 35%1.01 hits /60bottom 15%

    hitting score 76average2.28 hits /60average

  • Shot blocking
    Rarely blocksShot blocker

    blocking score 94bottom 43%3.93 blocks /60bottom 43%

    blocking score 100average4.56 blocks /60top 39%

  • TakeawaysTop 10
    RarePuck thief

    takeaway score 147top 3%1.57 takeaways /60top 2%

    takeaway score 91bottom 42%0.00 takeaways /60bottom 1%

Penalties and faceoffs

  • Drawing penalties
    RarelyDraws calls

    0.28 penalties drawn /60bottom 9%

    0.40 penalties drawn /60bottom 40%

  • Staying out of the box
    Often penalizedClean

    0.51 penalties taken /60top 29%

    0.58 penalties taken /60top 39%

Hitting, shot blocking and takeaways are arena-adjusted scores (100 is the average defenseman); switch “Hits and takeaways” to Raw in the settings to see the numbers as recorded. How the ratings work.

Shots

Where his shots come from, and how his misses miss.

Show
7129216204194238543

261 unblocked shots, this season and last, from his point of view. 17 more from outside the zone. Empty nets left out.

1213553

20 unblocked shots, this season, from his point of view. Empty nets left out.

How his misses miss

  • Wide left30
  • Wide right36
  • Over the net22
  • Off the post or crossbar2
  • Short or other6

96 missed shots. “Wide left” is from his point of view.

  • Wide left0
  • Wide right3
  • Over the net1
  • Off the post or crossbar0
  • Short or other2

6 missed shots. “Wide left” is from his point of view.

The NHL’s game data records how a shot missed, but not where in the net a goal or save went (glove side, blocker, five-hole). That needs paid camera tracking, so we don’t show it.

Skating and shot

Speed, bursts, shot power and where he spends his shifts, from the NHL’s own tracking (NHL EDGE).

  • Top speed
    SlowerBurner

    22.5 mphtop 23%

    20.1 mphbottom 22%

  • Fast bursts
    RareFrequent

    1.1 bursts /60bottom 29%

    0.8 bursts /60bottom 28%

  • Hardest shotTop 10
    SofterCannon

    99.8 mphtop 6%

    94.9 mphtop 5%

  • Distance skated
    ShorterCovers ground

    8.03 miles /60bottom 7%

    8.38 miles /60bottom 37%

  • Time in the offensive zone
    DefendingAttacking

    44.0% of his timetop 13%

    47.8% of his timetop 7%

Top speed and hardest shot are his best single moments over this season and lastthis season; bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of his ice time. Tracking data: NHL EDGE.