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Hits and takeaways

Nic Dowd

#26 · Center · Vegas Golden Knights

Shoots right · 36 years old

GamesGPGoalsGAssistsAPointsPShotsSOGIce timeTOI
This season5022211:27
Last season75516216614:33

Role

Where he fits on Vegas right now.

Line

L3 with M. Gatcomb and B. Bowman · 6:25 a game together

Power play

Not on either unit

Penalty kill

Starts the kill 11 of 12 kills · 0:48 a kill · starts 10 · takes the draw

Ice time

11:27 a game, 11th-most among Vegas forwards · 9:37 5-on-5 · 1:47 PK

Competition

Easier opponents than 61% of forwards · home 60%, road 62%

Easier opponents than 86% of forwards

Where he stands out

What he does better or worse than most players at his position.

Better than most at his position

  • Drawing penalties

    1.15 penalties drawn /60better than 89% of forwards

  • Preventing chances

    −0.12 expected goals against /60better than 81% of forwards

Behind most at his position

  • Shorthanded threat

    0.54 expected goals for /60behind 99% of forwards

  • Creating his own chances

    0.49 expected goals /60behind 96% of centers

  • Creating chances

    −0.25 expected goals /60behind 96% of forwards

  • Staying out of the box

    1.36 penalties taken /60behind 95% of forwards

Listed only when we can be confident he is above or below average. Numbers from this season and last, through Oct 10. Compared with forwards who have played at least 20 games over the two seasons.

Better than most at his position

Nothing yet where we can be confident he is above most forwards.

Behind most at his position

  • Hardest shot

    62.7 mphsofter than 94% of centers

  • Fast bursts

    1.1 bursts /60less often than 92% of forwards

  • Top speed

    20.4 mphslower than 88% of forwards

  • Faceoffs

    44.8% wonbehind 87% of forwards

Listed only when we can be confident he is above or below average. Numbers from this season, through Oct 10. Compared with forwards who have played at least 3 games.

All ratings

Every rating, against other forwards.

Nic DowdAverage forwardLikely range

This season’s 5 games blended with last season’s 75, and pulled toward the average forward by an amount that depends on how quickly each rating settles.

He played for Washington Capitals last season. Habits that travel with a player (shooting, hitting, penalties) still use that season in full; setting up goals, finishing, faceoffs and power-play chances depend more on linemates and role, so they lean on it less. We measured how much each one carries over for players who change teams.

Shooting volume, creating his own chances, shot blocking, hardest shot and distance skated compare centers with centers, because centers and wingers really differ there. Everything else compares all forwards.

This season’s 5 games only, pulled toward the average forward. Expect wide ranges this early.

Driving play at 5-on-5

  • Creating chances
    Along for the rideDrives play

    −0.25 expected goals /60bottom 4%

    −0.04 expected goals /60bottom 36%

  • Preventing chances
    Chances against riseShuts it down

    −0.12 expected goals against /60top 19%

    +0.02 expected goals against /60bottom 38%

Scoring

  • Shooting volume
    Rarely shootsFires away

    8.3 shot attempts /60bottom 11%

    10.2 shot attempts /60bottom 34%

  • Creating his own chances
    Few chancesDangerous

    0.49 expected goals /60bottom 4%

    0.64 expected goals /60bottom 36%

  • Finishing
    Below expectedSniper

    −0.5 goals above expected /100 shotsbottom 34%

    −0.4 goals above expected /100 shotsaverage

  • Setting up goals
    Rarely sets upPlaymaker

    0.46 first assists /60bottom 11%

    0.59 first assists /60top 32%

Special teams

  • Power-play chances
    QuietThreat

    1.83 expected goals /60too few games

    1.84 expected goals /60too few games

  • Shorthanded threat
    Pure defensePower kill

    0.54 expected goals for /60bottom 1%

    0.84 expected goals for /60average

Physical and puck

  • Hitting
    Avoids contactPhysical

    hitting score 119top 32%7.68 hits /60top 24%

    hitting score 107top 36%7.33 hits /60top 25%

  • Shot blocking
    Rarely blocksShot blocker

    blocking score 119top 29%3.19 blocks /60top 24%

    blocking score 102top 42%3.14 blocks /60top 25%

  • Takeaways
    RarePuck thief

    takeaway score 90bottom 40%0.99 takeaways /60top 40%

    takeaway score 89bottom 37%0.00 takeaways /60bottom 1%

Penalties and faceoffs

  • Drawing penalties
    RarelyDraws calls

    1.15 penalties drawn /60top 11%

    0.94 penalties drawn /60top 30%

  • Staying out of the box
    Often penalizedClean

    1.36 penalties taken /60bottom 5%

    0.75 penalties taken /60bottom 38%

  • Faceoffs
    Loses drawsWins draws

    44.3% wonbottom 13%

    44.8% wonbottom 13%

Hitting, shot blocking and takeaways are arena-adjusted scores (100 is the average forward); switch “Hits and takeaways” to Raw in the settings to see the numbers as recorded. How the ratings work.

Shots

Where his shots come from, and how his misses miss.

Show
32316141714161241

109 unblocked shots, this season and last, from his point of view. 7 more from outside the zone. Empty nets left out.

211

4 unblocked shots, this season, from his point of view. Empty nets left out.

How his misses miss

  • Wide left17
  • Wide right16
  • Over the net5
  • Off the post or crossbar4
  • Short or other0

42 missed shots. “Wide left” is from his point of view.

  • Wide left2
  • Wide right0
  • Over the net0
  • Off the post or crossbar0
  • Short or other0

2 missed shots. “Wide left” is from his point of view.

The NHL’s game data records how a shot missed, but not where in the net a goal or save went (glove side, blocker, five-hole). That needs paid camera tracking, so we don’t show it.

Skating and shot

Speed, bursts, shot power and where he spends his shifts, from the NHL’s own tracking (NHL EDGE).

  • Top speed
    SlowerBurner

    22.1 mphbottom 24%

    20.4 mphbottom 12%

  • Fast bursts
    RareFrequent

    3.5 bursts /60bottom 26%

    1.1 bursts /60bottom 8%

  • Hardest shot
    SofterCannon

    82.5 mphbottom 19%

    62.7 mphbottom 6%

  • Distance skated
    ShorterCovers ground

    9.68 miles /60average

    9.94 miles /60top 31%

  • Time in the offensive zone
    DefendingAttacking

    41.7% of his timetop 36%

    43.8% of his timetop 20%

Top speed and hardest shot are his best single moments over this season and lastthis season; bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of his ice time. Tracking data: NHL EDGE.