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Hits and takeaways

Nathan MacKinnon

#29 · Center · Colorado Avalanche

Shoots right · 31 years old

GamesGPGoalsGAssistsAPointsPShotsSOGIce timeTOI
This season43581518:43
Last season80537412735222:16

Role

Where he fits on Colorado right now.

Line

L2 with N. Kadri and A. Lehkonen · 12:08 a game together

Power play

PP1 Trigger

Penalty kill

Rarely kills penalties · not a regular in 10 kills

Ice time

18:43 a game, 2nd-most among Colorado forwards · 14:50 5-on-5 · 3:25 PP

Competition

About average among forwards · home easier than 56%, road about average

Easier opponents than 94% of forwards · road 99%

Where he stands out

What he does better or worse than most players at his position.

Better than most at his position

  • Shooting volume3rd

    19.5 shot attempts /60better than 99% of centers

  • Creating his own chances2nd

    1.11 expected goals /60better than 99% of centers

  • Setting up goals2nd

    1.07 first assists /60better than 99% of forwards

  • Creating chances1st

    +0.58 expected goals /60better than 99% of forwards

Behind most at his position

  • Shot blocking

    blocking score 441.36 blocks /60behind 98% of centersfewer than 93% of centers

  • Preventing chances

    +0.13 expected goals against /60behind 85% of forwards

  • Hitting

    hitting score 282.13 hits /60behind 80% of forwardsfewer than 75% of forwards

Listed only when we can be confident he is above or below average. Numbers from this season and last, through Oct 10. Compared with forwards who have played at least 20 games over the two seasons.

Better than most at his position

  • Fast bursts3rd

    29.6 bursts /60more often than 99% of forwards

  • Top speed

    22.9 mphfaster than 97% of forwards

  • Shooting volumeTop 10

    15.9 shot attempts /60better than 95% of centers

  • Setting up goals

    0.69 first assists /60better than 88% of forwards

Behind most at his position

  • Shot blocking

    blocking score 730.00 blocks /60behind 76% of centersfewer than 99% of centers

Listed only when we can be confident he is above or below average. Numbers from this season, through Oct 10. Compared with forwards who have played at least 3 games.

All ratings

Every rating, against other forwards.

Nathan MacKinnonAverage forwardLikely range

This season’s 4 games blended with last season’s 80, and pulled toward the average forward by an amount that depends on how quickly each rating settles.

Shooting volume, creating his own chances, shot blocking, hardest shot and distance skated compare centers with centers, because centers and wingers really differ there. Everything else compares all forwards.

This season’s 4 games only, pulled toward the average forward. Expect wide ranges this early.

Driving play at 5-on-5

  • Creating chances1st
    Along for the rideDrives play

    +0.58 expected goals /60top 1%

    +0.04 expected goals /60average

  • Preventing chances
    Chances against riseShuts it down

    +0.13 expected goals against /60bottom 15%

    +0.02 expected goals against /60bottom 39%

Scoring

  • Shooting volume3rdTop 10
    Rarely shootsFires away

    19.5 shot attempts /60top 1%

    15.9 shot attempts /60top 5%

  • Creating his own chances2nd
    Few chancesDangerous

    1.11 expected goals /60top 1%

    0.83 expected goals /60top 16%

  • Finishing
    Below expectedSniper

    +0.5 goals above expected /100 shotstop 5%

    −0.2 goals above expected /100 shotstop 31%

  • Setting up goals2nd
    Rarely sets upPlaymaker

    1.07 first assists /60top 1%

    0.69 first assists /60top 12%

Special teams

  • Power-play chances
    QuietThreat

    1.88 expected goals /60top 31%

    1.81 expected goals /60average

  • Shorthanded threat
    Pure defensePower kill

    0.88 expected goals for /60too few games

    0.89 expected goals for /60too few games

Physical and puck

  • Hitting
    Avoids contactPhysical

    hitting score 28bottom 20%2.13 hits /60bottom 25%

    hitting score 37bottom 27%1.60 hits /60bottom 16%

  • Shot blocking
    Rarely blocksShot blocker

    blocking score 44bottom 2%1.36 blocks /60bottom 7%

    blocking score 73bottom 24%0.00 blocks /60bottom 1%

  • Takeaways
    RarePuck thief

    takeaway score 88bottom 36%0.84 takeaways /60bottom 43%

    takeaway score 99average0.80 takeaways /60bottom 37%

Penalties and faceoffs

  • Drawing penalties
    RarelyDraws calls

    0.82 penalties drawn /60average

    0.91 penalties drawn /60top 32%

  • Staying out of the box
    Often penalizedClean

    0.54 penalties taken /60top 29%

    0.72 penalties taken /60bottom 43%

  • Faceoffs
    Loses drawsWins draws

    49.3% wonaverage

    48.7% wonbottom 40%

Hitting, shot blocking and takeaways are arena-adjusted scores (100 is the average forward); switch “Hits and takeaways” to Raw in the settings to see the numbers as recorded. How the ratings work.

Shots

Where his shots come from, and how his misses miss.

Show
1644363289434168562261933

485 unblocked shots, this season and last, from his point of view. 7 more from outside the zone. Empty nets left out.

1332154131

24 unblocked shots, this season, from his point of view. Empty nets left out.

How his misses miss

  • Wide left50
  • Wide right39
  • Over the net23
  • Off the post or crossbar8
  • Short or other8

128 missed shots. “Wide left” is from his point of view.

  • Wide left2
  • Wide right4
  • Over the net2
  • Off the post or crossbar1
  • Short or other0

9 missed shots. “Wide left” is from his point of view.

The NHL’s game data records how a shot missed, but not where in the net a goal or save went (glove side, blocker, five-hole). That needs paid camera tracking, so we don’t show it.

Skating and shot

Speed, bursts, shot power and where he spends his shifts, from the NHL’s own tracking (NHL EDGE).

  • Top speed2nd
    SlowerBurner

    24.8 mphtop 1%

    22.9 mphtop 3%

  • Fast burstsTop 103rd
    RareFrequent

    15.9 bursts /60top 1%

    29.6 bursts /60top 1%

  • Hardest shot
    SofterCannon

    91.0 mphtop 15%

    80.7 mphtop 38%

  • Distance skated
    ShorterCovers ground

    9.56 miles /60bottom 36%

    9.93 miles /60top 32%

  • Time in the offensive zone
    DefendingAttacking

    43.0% of his timetop 14%

    43.0% of his timetop 27%

Top speed and hardest shot are his best single moments over this season and lastthis season; bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of his ice time. Tracking data: NHL EDGE.