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Hits and takeaways

Nicolas Roy

#10 · Center · Colorado Avalanche

Shoots right · 29 years old

GamesGPGoalsGAssistsAPointsPShotsSOGIce timeTOI
This season4213812:50
Last season74817257614:28

Role

Where he fits on Colorado right now.

Line

L4 with P. Kelly and Z. L'Heureux · 7:53 a game together

Power play

Not on either unit

Penalty kill

Second wave 8 of 10 kills · 0:42 a kill · starts only 2

Ice time

12:50 a game, 11th-most among Colorado forwards · 11:23 5-on-5 · 1:24 PK

Competition

Easier opponents than 86% of forwards · home 68%, road 93%

Easier opponents than 93% of forwards

Where he stands out

What he does better or worse than most players at his position.

Better than most at his position

  • Takeaways

    takeaway score 1271.23 takeaways /60better than 85% of forwardsmore than 81% of forwards

Behind most at his position

  • Top speed

    21.1 mphslower than 98% of forwards

  • Fast bursts

    1.8 bursts /60less often than 91% of forwards

  • Hardest shot

    81.7 mphsofter than 86% of centers

  • Shorthanded threat

    0.71 expected goals for /60behind 84% of forwards

Listed only when we can be confident he is above or below average. Numbers from this season and last, through Oct 10. Compared with forwards who have played at least 20 games over the two seasons.

Better than most at his position

  • Time in the offensive zone

    47.6% of his timemore than 95% of forwards

  • Creating his own chances

    0.87 expected goals /60better than 90% of centers

  • Shooting volume

    13.7 shot attempts /60better than 81% of centers

  • Creating chances

    +0.13 expected goals /60better than 78% of forwards

Behind most at his position

Nothing yet where we can be confident he is below most forwards.

Listed only when we can be confident he is above or below average. Numbers from this season, through Oct 10. Compared with forwards who have played at least 3 games.

All ratings

Every rating, against other forwards.

Nicolas RoyAverage forwardLikely range

This season’s 4 games blended with last season’s 74, and pulled toward the average forward by an amount that depends on how quickly each rating settles.

He played for Toronto Maple Leafs last season. Habits that travel with a player (shooting, hitting, penalties) still use that season in full; setting up goals, finishing, faceoffs and power-play chances depend more on linemates and role, so they lean on it less. We measured how much each one carries over for players who change teams.

Shooting volume, creating his own chances, shot blocking, hardest shot and distance skated compare centers with centers, because centers and wingers really differ there. Everything else compares all forwards.

This season’s 4 games only, pulled toward the average forward. Expect wide ranges this early.

Driving play at 5-on-5

  • Creating chances
    Along for the rideDrives play

    +0.03 expected goals /60average

    +0.13 expected goals /60top 22%

  • Preventing chances
    Chances against riseShuts it down

    no measurable changebottom 42%

    −0.03 expected goals against /60average

Scoring

  • Shooting volume
    Rarely shootsFires away

    12.1 shot attempts /60top 36%

    13.7 shot attempts /60top 19%

  • Creating his own chances
    Few chancesDangerous

    0.80 expected goals /60top 22%

    0.87 expected goals /60top 10%

  • Finishing
    Below expectedSniper

    −0.5 goals above expected /100 shotsbottom 40%

    −0.3 goals above expected /100 shotstop 40%

  • Setting up goals
    Rarely sets upPlaymaker

    0.61 first assists /60top 28%

    0.59 first assists /60top 32%

Special teams

  • Power-play chances
    QuietThreat

    1.87 expected goals /60top 33%

    1.83 expected goals /60too few games

  • Shorthanded threat
    Pure defensePower kill

    0.71 expected goals for /60bottom 16%

    0.86 expected goals for /60average

Physical and puck

Penalties and faceoffs

  • Drawing penalties
    RarelyDraws calls

    0.69 penalties drawn /60bottom 32%

    0.84 penalties drawn /60top 42%

  • Staying out of the box
    Often penalizedClean

    0.67 penalties taken /60average

    0.76 penalties taken /60bottom 38%

  • Faceoffs
    Loses drawsWins draws

    54.0% wontop 26%

    52.5% wontoo few games

Hitting, shot blocking and takeaways are arena-adjusted scores (100 is the average forward); switch “Hits and takeaways” to Raw in the settings to see the numbers as recorded. How the ratings work.

Shots

Where his shots come from, and how his misses miss.

Show
546161111310221311

133 unblocked shots, this season and last, from his point of view. 3 more from outside the zone. Empty nets left out.

13212111

13 unblocked shots, this season, from his point of view. 1 more from outside the zone. Empty nets left out.

How his misses miss

  • Wide left21
  • Wide right22
  • Over the net4
  • Off the post or crossbar1
  • Short or other1

49 missed shots. “Wide left” is from his point of view.

  • Wide left2
  • Wide right3
  • Over the net0
  • Off the post or crossbar0
  • Short or other0

5 missed shots. “Wide left” is from his point of view.

The NHL’s game data records how a shot missed, but not where in the net a goal or save went (glove side, blocker, five-hole). That needs paid camera tracking, so we don’t show it.

Skating and shot

Speed, bursts, shot power and where he spends his shifts, from the NHL’s own tracking (NHL EDGE).

Top speed and hardest shot are his best single moments over this season and lastthis season; bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of his ice time. Tracking data: NHL EDGE.