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Hits and takeaways

Noah Ostlund

#86 · Center · Buffalo Sabres

Shoots left · 22 years old

GamesGPGoalsGAssistsAPointsPShotsSOGIce timeTOI
This season4123917:57
Last season601116276013:58

Role

Where he fits on Buffalo right now.

Line

L1 with J. Quinn and Z. Benson · 12:04 a game together

Power play

PP1

Penalty kill

Spot duty 3 of 10 kills · 0:37 a kill

Ice time

17:57 a game, 4th-most among Buffalo forwards · 14:26 5-on-5 · 2:18 PP · 0:30 PK

Competition

Easier opponents than 59% of forwards · home 81%, road tougher than 82%

Easier opponents than 84% of forwards · home 81%

Where he stands out

What he does better or worse than most players at his position.

Better than most at his position

  • Preventing chances

    −0.17 expected goals against /60better than 91% of forwards

Behind most at his position

  • Hitting

    hitting score 20.33 hits /60behind 99% of forwardsfewer than 99% of forwards

  • Faceoffs

    35.7% wonbehind 99% of forwards

  • Power-play chances

    1.65 expected goals /60behind 91% of forwards

  • Creating chances

    −0.09 expected goals /60behind 77% of forwards

Listed only when we can be confident he is above or below average. Numbers from this season and last, through Oct 10. Compared with forwards who have played at least 20 games over the two seasons.

Better than most at his position

  • Time in the offensive zoneTop 10

    49.4% of his timemore than 98% of forwards

  • Shooting volume

    13.4 shot attempts /60better than 78% of centers

Behind most at his position

  • Hitting

    hitting score 180.00 hits /60behind 90% of forwardsfewer than 99% of forwards

  • Faceoffs

    45.3% wonbehind 82% of forwards

Listed only when we can be confident he is above or below average. Numbers from this season, through Oct 10. Compared with forwards who have played at least 3 games.

All ratings

Every rating, against other forwards.

Noah OstlundAverage forwardLikely range

This season’s 4 games blended with last season’s 60, and pulled toward the average forward by an amount that depends on how quickly each rating settles.

Shooting volume, creating his own chances, shot blocking, hardest shot and distance skated compare centers with centers, because centers and wingers really differ there. Everything else compares all forwards.

This season’s 4 games only, pulled toward the average forward. Expect wide ranges this early.

Driving play at 5-on-5

  • Creating chances
    Along for the rideDrives play

    −0.09 expected goals /60bottom 23%

    +0.02 expected goals /60average

  • Preventing chances
    Chances against riseShuts it down

    −0.17 expected goals against /60top 9%

    −0.04 expected goals against /60average

Scoring

  • Shooting volume
    Rarely shootsFires away

    12.2 shot attempts /60top 34%

    13.4 shot attempts /60top 22%

  • Creating his own chances
    Few chancesDangerous

    0.62 expected goals /60bottom 26%

    0.76 expected goals /60top 34%

  • Finishing
    Below expectedSniper

    +0.2 goals above expected /100 shotstop 14%

    −0.4 goals above expected /100 shotsaverage

  • Setting up goals
    Rarely sets upPlaymaker

    0.55 first assists /60average

    0.54 first assists /60average

Special teams

  • Power-play chances
    QuietThreat

    1.65 expected goals /60bottom 9%

    1.81 expected goals /60too few games

  • Shorthanded threat
    Pure defensePower kill

    0.89 expected goals for /60too few games

    0.90 expected goals for /60too few games

Physical and puck

Penalties and faceoffs

  • Drawing penalties
    RarelyDraws calls

    0.68 penalties drawn /60bottom 31%

    0.81 penalties drawn /60average

  • Staying out of the box
    Often penalizedClean

    0.48 penalties taken /60top 19%

    0.59 penalties taken /60top 38%

  • Faceoffs
    Loses drawsWins draws

    35.7% wonbottom 1%

    45.3% wonbottom 18%

Hitting, shot blocking and takeaways are arena-adjusted scores (100 is the average forward); switch “Hits and takeaways” to Raw in the settings to see the numbers as recorded. How the ratings work.

Shots

Where his shots come from, and how his misses miss.

Show
3213716818224612

106 unblocked shots, this season and last, from his point of view. 4 more from outside the zone. Empty nets left out.

1113422

14 unblocked shots, this season, from his point of view. Empty nets left out.

How his misses miss

  • Wide left17
  • Wide right11
  • Over the net4
  • Off the post or crossbar3
  • Short or other2

37 missed shots. “Wide left” is from his point of view.

  • Wide left2
  • Wide right3
  • Over the net0
  • Off the post or crossbar0
  • Short or other0

5 missed shots. “Wide left” is from his point of view.

The NHL’s game data records how a shot missed, but not where in the net a goal or save went (glove side, blocker, five-hole). That needs paid camera tracking, so we don’t show it.

Skating and shot

Speed, bursts, shot power and where he spends his shifts, from the NHL’s own tracking (NHL EDGE).

Top speed and hardest shot are his best single moments over this season and lastthis season; bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of his ice time. Tracking data: NHL EDGE.