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Hits and takeaways

Brock Nelson

#11 · Center · Colorado Avalanche

Shoots left · 34 years old

GamesGPGoalsGAssistsAPointsPShotsSOGIce timeTOI
This season4134316:58
Last season8133326518619:39

Role

Where he fits on Colorado right now.

Line

L3 with G. Landeskog and M. Necas · 10:43 a game together

Power play

Not on either unit

Penalty kill

Starts the kill 9 of 10 kills · 1:03 a kill · starts 8 · takes the draw

Ice time

16:58 a game, 5th-most among Colorado forwards · 12:47 5-on-5 · 1:22 PP · 2:22 PK

Competition

About average among forwards · home tougher than 62%, road about average

Easier opponents than 61% of forwards

Where he stands out

What he does better or worse than most players at his position.

Better than most at his position

  • Creating chances

    +0.17 expected goals /60better than 83% of forwards

  • Preventing chances

    −0.12 expected goals against /60better than 81% of forwards

Behind most at his position

  • Shorthanded threat

    0.67 expected goals for /60behind 90% of forwards

Listed only when we can be confident he is above or below average. Numbers from this season and last, through Oct 10. Compared with forwards who have played at least 20 games over the two seasons.

Better than most at his position

  • Distance skated

    10.19 miles /60farther than 85% of centers

Behind most at his position

  • Shooting volume

    9.6 shot attempts /60behind 77% of centers

Listed only when we can be confident he is above or below average. Numbers from this season, through Oct 10. Compared with forwards who have played at least 3 games.

All ratings

Every rating, against other forwards.

Brock NelsonAverage forwardLikely range

This season’s 4 games blended with last season’s 81, and pulled toward the average forward by an amount that depends on how quickly each rating settles.

Shooting volume, creating his own chances, shot blocking, hardest shot and distance skated compare centers with centers, because centers and wingers really differ there. Everything else compares all forwards.

This season’s 4 games only, pulled toward the average forward. Expect wide ranges this early.

Driving play at 5-on-5

  • Creating chances
    Along for the rideDrives play

    +0.17 expected goals /60top 17%

    −0.06 expected goals /60bottom 30%

  • Preventing chances
    Chances against riseShuts it down

    −0.12 expected goals against /60top 19%

    no measurable changeaverage

Scoring

  • Shooting volume
    Rarely shootsFires away

    10.2 shot attempts /60bottom 34%

    9.6 shot attempts /60bottom 23%

  • Creating his own chances
    Few chancesDangerous

    0.80 expected goals /60top 23%

    0.63 expected goals /60bottom 32%

  • Finishing
    Below expectedSniper

    +0.3 goals above expected /100 shotstop 8%

    −0.3 goals above expected /100 shotstop 37%

  • Setting up goals
    Rarely sets upPlaymaker

    0.49 first assists /60bottom 19%

    0.54 first assists /60average

Special teams

  • Power-play chances
    QuietThreat

    1.69 expected goals /60bottom 14%

    1.82 expected goals /60too few games

  • Shorthanded threat
    Pure defensePower kill

    0.67 expected goals for /60bottom 10%

    0.84 expected goals for /60average

Physical and puck

Penalties and faceoffs

  • Drawing penalties
    RarelyDraws calls

    0.76 penalties drawn /60bottom 42%

    0.81 penalties drawn /60average

  • Staying out of the box
    Often penalizedClean

    0.71 penalties taken /60bottom 44%

    0.73 penalties taken /60bottom 41%

  • Faceoffs
    Loses drawsWins draws

    49.6% wonaverage

    49.4% wonaverage

Hitting, shot blocking and takeaways are arena-adjusted scores (100 is the average forward); switch “Hits and takeaways” to Raw in the settings to see the numbers as recorded. How the ratings work.

Shots

Where his shots come from, and how his misses miss.

Show
10368242711313067411

269 unblocked shots, this season and last, from his point of view. 1 more from outside the zone. Empty nets left out.

1111

4 unblocked shots, this season, from his point of view. Empty nets left out.

How his misses miss

  • Wide left35
  • Wide right29
  • Over the net9
  • Off the post or crossbar8
  • Short or other3

84 missed shots. “Wide left” is from his point of view.

  • Wide left0
  • Wide right0
  • Over the net0
  • Off the post or crossbar0
  • Short or other1

1 missed shots. “Wide left” is from his point of view.

The NHL’s game data records how a shot missed, but not where in the net a goal or save went (glove side, blocker, five-hole). That needs paid camera tracking, so we don’t show it.

Skating and shot

Speed, bursts, shot power and where he spends his shifts, from the NHL’s own tracking (NHL EDGE).

Top speed and hardest shot are his best single moments over this season and lastthis season; bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of his ice time. Tracking data: NHL EDGE.