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NYR

New York Rangers

4-2-0

NJD

New Jersey Devils

1-2-0

Has last change

Thursday, October 15

7:00 PM ET · Prudential Center

The short version

Before the game

The Rangers feed on mistakes, and the Devils make them

The Rangers come in at 4-2-0, the Devils at 1-2-0. New Jersey has controlled the play far better over recent games and has home ice. The Rangers can make it interesting if they pounce on loose pucks.

The Rangers come in at 4-2-0, the Devils at 1-2-0. New Jersey has controlled the play far better over recent games and has home ice. The Rangers can pull it off if they pounce on loose pucks.

The Rangers pounce on loose pucks, and the Devils cough them up. The Rangers and the Devils sit at opposite ends for physicality.

Who to watch

  • Haunts themJack Hughes has eleven goals in ten games against the Rangers since 2023-24.
  • Haunts themJ.T. Miller has four goals in six games against New Jersey since 2023-24.
  • Still outC. Brown is out and hasn’t played yet this season.

  1. The Rangers feed on mistakes, and the Devils make them

    The Devils give up more dangerous chances after losing the puck than most, and the Rangers pounce.

    The call The Rangers get at least their usual 7.7% of their 5-on-5 chances right after winning the puck.

    NY Rangers 8th for chances off turnovers (7.7% of their chances come right after winning the puck) · New Jersey 26th for avoiding breakdowns

    Style fingerprint · this season blended with last · 6 and 3 games this season

  2. The Rangers hit; the Devils mostly don’t

    On physicality, the Rangers is one of the league’s best and New Jersey is one of the league’s worst. That’s about as far apart as two teams get.

    The call The Rangers hit more than the Devils in the close stretches of the game.

    Physicality: NY Rangers 2nd, New Jersey 30th

    Style fingerprint · this season blended with last · 6 and 3 games this season

These calls are written by fixed rules from the numbers below, and saved as they stand at puck drop. After the game, each one will be checked against what happened.

Style fingerprints

How NY Rangers and New Jersey play, trait by trait, on the same scales.

New York RangersNew Jersey DevilsLeague averageLikely range

Each scale runs from the league’s lowest team on the left to its highest on the right. Numbers blend last season with the 6 and 3 games played so far; traits that take longer to settle lean more on last season.

This season only: 6 games for NY Rangers, 3 for New Jersey. Expect these to swing a lot, which is why the likely ranges are so wide.

The biggest differences

Show all 18 traitsHide the full set

Offense

  • Shot volume
    SelectiveRelentless

    • NY Rangers: 51.0 shot attempts per 6028th of 32

      NY Rangers: 49.0 shot attempts per 6026th of 32

    • New Jersey: 63.9 shot attempts per 605th of 32

      New Jersey: 71.1 shot attempts per 602nd of 32

  • Shot quality
    HopefulDangerous

    • NY Rangers: a 6.5% chance of scoring on the average shot14th of 32

      NY Rangers: a 7.3% chance of scoring on the average shot5th of 32

    • New Jersey: a 6.1% chance of scoring on the average shot25th of 32

      New Jersey: a 6.3% chance of scoring on the average shot20th of 32

  • Second chances
    One-and-doneCrashers

    • NY Rangers: 10.0% of chances come from rebounds24th of 32

      NY Rangers: 6.4% of chances come from rebounds25th of 32

    • New Jersey: 9.8% of chances come from rebounds32nd of 32

      New Jersey: 8.2% of chances come from rebounds19th of 32

  • Off-turnover offense
    PatientOpportunist

    • NY Rangers: 7.7% of chances come right after a turnover8th of 32

      NY Rangers: 10.3% of chances come right after a turnover12th of 32

    • New Jersey: 7.7% of chances come right after a turnover7th of 32

      New Jersey: 10.1% of chances come right after a turnover13th of 32

  • Shots from defensemen
    Forward-ledActive D

    • NY Rangers: 35.7% of shot attempts come from defensemen11th of 32

      NY Rangers: 34.8% of shot attempts come from defensemen14th of 32

    • New Jersey: 36.1% of shot attempts come from defensemen7th of 32

      New Jersey: 38.1% of shot attempts come from defensemen2nd of 32

  • Shots from in close
    From distanceIn close

    • NY Rangers: 32.3% of shots come from within 20 feet3rd of 32

      NY Rangers: 37.9% of shots come from within 20 feet1st of 32

    • New Jersey: 28.9% of shots come from within 20 feet29th of 32

      New Jersey: 28.2% of shots come from within 20 feet24th of 32

Defense

  • Shot suppression
    PorousStingy

    • NY Rangers: 55.9 shot attempts allowed per 6014th of 32

      NY Rangers: 53.1 shot attempts allowed per 6013th of 32

    • New Jersey: 55.1 shot attempts allowed per 6012th of 32

      New Jersey: 51.1 shot attempts allowed per 609th of 32

  • Quality allowed
    ExposedSheltered

    • NY Rangers: a 6.3% chance of scoring on the average shot against14th of 32

      NY Rangers: a 6.7% chance of scoring on the average shot against22nd of 32

    • New Jersey: a 6.5% chance of scoring on the average shot against26th of 32

      New Jersey: a 6.9% chance of scoring on the average shot against25th of 32

  • Breakdowns avoided
    Fire drillComposed

    • NY Rangers: 0.42 defensive breakdowns per 6022nd of 32

      NY Rangers: 0.42 defensive breakdowns per 6016th of 32

    • New Jersey: 0.44 defensive breakdowns per 6026th of 32

      New Jersey: 1.30 defensive breakdowns per 6032nd of 32

  • Goaltending
    SieveWall

    • NY Rangers: +0.21 goals saved above expected per 604th of 32

      NY Rangers: +1.15 goals saved above expected per 604th of 32

    • New Jersey: +0.11 goals saved above expected per 6016th of 32

      New Jersey: −1.12 goals saved above expected per 6026th of 32

Tempo and edge

  • Pace
    SlogTrack meet

    • NY Rangers: 77.2 shots per 60, both teams combined31st of 32

      NY Rangers: 70.0 shots per 60, both teams combined31st of 32

    • New Jersey: 83.6 shots per 60, both teams combined8th of 32

      New Jersey: 87.5 shots per 60, both teams combined6th of 32

  • Forecheck pressure
    PassiveHounding

    • NY Rangers: forecheck score 121 (100 is league average)3rd of 32NY Rangers: 27.4 forecheck plays recorded per 604th of 32

      NY Rangers: forecheck score 118 (100 is league average)7th of 32NY Rangers: 29.1 forecheck plays recorded per 608th of 32

    • New Jersey: forecheck score 95 (100 is league average)17th of 32New Jersey: 20.7 forecheck plays recorded per 6023rd of 32

      New Jersey: forecheck score 99 (100 is league average)16th of 32New Jersey: 23.0 forecheck plays recorded per 6017th of 32

  • Physicality
    FinesseBruising

    • NY Rangers: hit score 121 (100 is league average)2nd of 32NY Rangers: 32.0 hits recorded per 603rd of 32

      NY Rangers: hit score 115 (100 is league average)9th of 32NY Rangers: 33.5 hits recorded per 608th of 32

    • New Jersey: hit score 78 (100 is league average)30th of 32New Jersey: 19.8 hits recorded per 6031st of 32

      New Jersey: hit score 68 (100 is league average)31st of 32New Jersey: 18.5 hits recorded per 6031st of 32

  • Depth
    Top-heavyDeep

    • NY Rangers: 41.5% of forward ice time at 5-on-5 goes to the bottom six20th of 32

      NY Rangers: 42.0% of forward ice time at 5-on-5 goes to the bottom six18th of 32

    • New Jersey: 40.5% of forward ice time at 5-on-5 goes to the bottom six28th of 32

      New Jersey: 40.8% of forward ice time at 5-on-5 goes to the bottom six25th of 32

Special teams

  • Power play
    HarmlessLethal

    • NY Rangers: 8.4 expected goals per 60 on the power play5th of 32

      NY Rangers: 9.7 expected goals per 60 on the power play5th of 32

    • New Jersey: 8.2 expected goals per 60 on the power play7th of 32

      New Jersey: 4.9 expected goals per 60 on the power play25th of 32

  • Penalty kill
    LeakyAirtight

    • NY Rangers: 7.7 expected goals allowed per 60 shorthanded21st of 32

      NY Rangers: 5.5 expected goals allowed per 60 shorthanded7th of 32

    • New Jersey: 7.4 expected goals allowed per 60 shorthanded14th of 32

      New Jersey: 10.4 expected goals allowed per 60 shorthanded31st of 32

  • Power kill
    BunkeredPredatory

    • NY Rangers: 0.7 expected goals created per 60 shorthanded29th of 32

      NY Rangers: 0.0 expected goals created per 60 shorthanded29th of 32

    • New Jersey: 1.1 expected goals created per 60 shorthanded4th of 32

      New Jersey: 0.1 expected goals created per 60 shorthanded26th of 32

  • Discipline
    RecklessClean

    • NY Rangers: 0.22 more penalties taken than drawn per 6030th of 32

      NY Rangers: 0.50 more penalties taken than drawn per 6026th of 32

    • New Jersey: 0.06 more penalties drawn than taken per 6011th of 32

      New Jersey: 1.31 more penalties drawn than taken per 602nd of 32

Forecheck pressure and physicality are arena-adjusted scores; switch “Hits and takeaways” to Raw in the settings to see the numbers as recorded. How the arena adjustment works.

Lines and deployment

New Jersey is at home, so their coach changes last and chooses who plays against whom.

How good, against the same line or pair on other teamsHow much, low to high (not good or bad)

Lines and pairs are numbered by 5-on-5 ice time together over each team’s last 10 games (6 and 3 so far), with each older game counting half as much as the one after it, so the latest combinations come first. With so few games, each group’s results are pulled toward the average for its line number.

New York Rangers

New Jersey Devils

Worth knowing

  • NY Rangers S. Durzi has started killing penalties: on the ice for 44% of the team’s shorthanded time in 6 games, up from 7% last season.
  • New Jersey C. Brown is out and has not played this season. He is a top-six forward. A. Mantha has taken his spot beside J. Bratt and J. Hughes.

Who New Jersey is likely to send against whom

Each strip shows how one New Jersey group’s 5-on-5 time at home has been split across opponents’ four forward lines. Tonight those lines are NY Rangers’s, named in each box.

NY Rangers’s lines tonightL1 Zibanejad · Lafrenière · PerreaultL2 Miller · Dorofeyev · KartyeL3 Tolvanen · Cuylle · LabaL4 Bjorkstrand · Chmelar · Beaudoin

New Jersey forward lines against NY Rangers forward lines

  • L1Meier · Hischier · EvangelistaNYR L128%NYR L213%NYR L322%NYR L436%
  • L2Mantha · Bratt · HughesNYR L135%NYR L223%NYR L318%NYR L424%
  • L3Rodrigues · Gritsyuk · MercerNYR L132%NYR L236%NYR L319%NYR L413%
  • L4Glass · Boqvist · LombardiNYR L113%NYR L252%NYR L323%NYR L412%

New Jersey defense pairs against NY Rangers forward lines

  • P1Pesce · HughesNYR L126%NYR L226%NYR L326%NYR L422%
  • P2Hamilton · SiegenthalerNYR L129%NYR L238%NYR L322%NYR L411%
  • P3Dillon · ChisholmNYR L130%NYR L224%NYR L34%NYR L442%

Based on 2 New Jersey home games this season, so treat it as a habit forming, not a certainty. Faded rows have under ten minutes. With no line matching, each group would face an opposing line about as often as that line is on the ice; a number well above that means the coach is sending that group out against it on purpose.

Special teams

Each power play set against the penalty killers it will face.

Show

NY Rangers power play against New Jersey penalty kill

  • NY Rangers power play

    8.4 expected goals per 60 · 5th of 32

  • New Jersey penalty kill

    7.4 expected goals allowed per 60 · 14th of 32

NY Rangers power play

PP170% of the time

Creates 8.6 expected goals per 60

  • A. FoxQuarterback
  • A. LafrenièreDistributor
  • M. ZibanejadTrigger
  • P. Dorofeyev
  • J. MillerNet-front

PP229% of the time

Creates 7.6 expected goals per 60

  • S. DurziQuarterback
  • W. CuylleTrigger
  • G. PerreaultDistributor
  • E. Tolvanen
  • O. Bjorkstrand

 

Where NY Rangers’s last 140 power-play shots came from. Bigger dots are more dangerous.

New Jersey penalty kill

Starts the kill

Second wave

Spot duty

Units and penalty-kill roles use each team’s last 10 games; power-play role tags use this season and last, counting only games with the player’s current team; the map shows the last 140 power-play shots. Point at a power-play name to see his shots on the map.

Goaltending

Is each goalie stopping more than he should, and what is his team asking him to face?

Showagainst

I. Shesterkin54 starts · 1534 shots, this season and last

+27.9 goals saved above expected

Low-danger save %
.976 777 shots
Medium-danger save %
.890 543 shots
High-danger save %
.743 214 shots
Shots faced per 60
28
Defensive breakdowns per 60
0.33
Quality starts
67%

Helping, or hung out to dry?

System and goalie both goodGoalie bailing them outGoalie giving back what the system earnsTrouble everywhereTeam allows fewer chances ← → more chancesI. ShesterkinD. GarandJ. AllenN. Daws

J. Allen39 starts · 1088 shots, this season and last

+11.7 goals saved above expected

Low-danger save %
.979 536 shots
Medium-danger save %
.905 380 shots
High-danger save %
.651 172 shots
Shots faced per 60
28.3
Defensive breakdowns per 60
0.39
Quality starts
56%
Show the full goalie comparisonHide the full goalie comparison
  • Stopping more than expected
    SieveWall
    • I. Shesterkin: +27.9 goals saved above expected in 54 starts
    • J. Allen: +11.7 goals saved above expected in 39 starts
  • How busy he is
    QuietUnder siege
    • I. Shesterkin: 28 shots faced per 60
    • J. Allen: 28.3 shots faced per 60
  • How dangerous the shots are
    ShelteredExposed
    • I. Shesterkin: the average shot he faces has a 7.0% chance of going in
    • J. Allen: the average shot he faces has a 7.2% chance of going in
  • Breakdowns in front of him
    RareConstant
    • I. Shesterkin: 0.33 defensive breakdowns in front of him per 60
    • J. Allen: 0.39 defensive breakdowns in front of him per 60
  • Waiting between shots
    Steady workLong waits
    • I. Shesterkin: a typical wait of 72 seconds between shots
    • J. Allen: a typical wait of 70 seconds between shots
  • Night-to-night steadiness
    StreakySteady
    • I. Shesterkin: a quality start 67% of the time
    • J. Allen: a quality start 56% of the time

I. Shesterkin, night to night: goals saved above expected in each start

−3 (bad night)0+3 (stole it)

J. Allen, night to night: goals saved above expected in each start

−3 (bad night)0+3 (stole it)

I. Shesterkin4 starts · 109 shots, this season

+4.7 goals saved above expected

Low-danger save %
.978 45 shots
Medium-danger save %
.918 49 shots
High-danger save %
.800 15 shots
Shots faced per 60
24.4
Defensive breakdowns per 60
0
Quality starts
100%

Helping, or hung out to dry?

System and goalie both goodGoalie bailing them outGoalie giving back what the system earnsTrouble everywhereTeam allows fewer chances ← → more chancesI. ShesterkinD. GarandJ. AllenN. Daws

J. Allen2 starts · 56 shots, this season

−1.1 goals saved above expected

Low-danger save %
.960 25 shots
Medium-danger save %
.826 23 shots
High-danger save %
.750 8 shots
Shots faced per 60
27.8
Defensive breakdowns per 60
0
Quality starts
50%
Show the full goalie comparisonHide the full goalie comparison
  • Stopping more than expected
    SieveWall
    • I. Shesterkin: +4.7 goals saved above expected in 4 starts
    • J. Allen: −1.1 goals saved above expected in 2 starts
  • How busy he is
    QuietUnder siege
    • I. Shesterkin: 24.4 shots faced per 60
    • J. Allen: 27.8 shots faced per 60
  • How dangerous the shots are
    ShelteredExposed
    • I. Shesterkin: the average shot he faces has a 7.2% chance of going in
    • J. Allen: the average shot he faces has a 7.7% chance of going in
  • Breakdowns in front of him
    RareConstant
    • I. Shesterkin: 0 defensive breakdowns in front of him per 60
    • J. Allen: 0 defensive breakdowns in front of him per 60
  • Waiting between shots
    Steady workLong waits
    • I. Shesterkin: a typical wait of 85 seconds between shots
    • J. Allen: a typical wait of 67 seconds between shots
  • Night-to-night steadiness
    StreakySteady
    • I. Shesterkin: a quality start 100% of the time
    • J. Allen: a quality start 50% of the time

I. Shesterkin, night to night: goals saved above expected in each start

−3 (bad night)0+3 (stole it)

J. Allen, night to night: goals saved above expected in each start

−3 (bad night)0+3 (stole it)

The menus list every goalie on each team, busiest this season first; the site does not yet know who will start. Expected-goal models can’t see passes before a shot, so a goalie whose team gives up many cross-ice passes looks worse here than he really is.

Where the goals come from

How each team’s goals are scored, or allowed, against the league average.

Show goals
NY RangersNew JerseyLeague average
  • Everyday even-strength play55%58%
  • Power play22.7%19.5%
  • Rebound6.8%2.6%
  • Empty net6.8%7.8%
  • Off a turnover3.2%4.3%
  • Goalie pulled2.4%4.3%
  • Shorthanded2%2.6%
  • Off a faceoff win1.2%0.9%

251 NY Rangers goals and 231 New Jersey goals scored this season and last. Each row has its own scale.

  • Everyday even-strength play35.3%66.7%
  • Power play23.5%16.7%
  • Rebound5.9%0%
  • Empty net29.4%0%
  • Off a turnover5.9%16.7%
  • Goalie pulled0%0%
  • Shorthanded0%0%
  • Off a faceoff win0%0%

17 NY Rangers goals and 6 New Jersey goals scored this season. Each row has its own scale.

These mixes are mostly luck: over three seasons, teams’ goals came from much the same places, and most of the differences here didn’t last. Each team page shows how much luck alone can move each row.

Data notes

Team pages: New York Rangers · New Jersey Devils